高分求一篇2000字的英文文章..题材是伊拉克战争对全球经济的影响.
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发布时间：2022-05-03 12:15
共3个回答
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:27
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
参考资料：http://news3.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2003-04/08/content_821282.htm
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:28
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London乔基姆费尔斯said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
要谢我的哦!
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:28
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London乔基姆费尔斯said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:27
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
参考资料：http://news3.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2003-04/08/content_821282.htm
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:28
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London乔基姆费尔斯said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
要谢我的哦!
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:28
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London乔基姆费尔斯said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:27
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
参考资料：http://news3.xinhuanet.com/fortune/2003-04/08/content_821282.htm
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:28
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London乔基姆费尔斯said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
要谢我的哦!
热心网友
时间：2023-10-21 15:28
"The Wall Street Journal," April 7, said a signed article, the war in Iraq may be in the next few years the impact of the global economy and financial markets.
During the cold war, Henry Kissinger and the former Soviet Union the United States fighting two superpower described as "the two heavily armed blind in a house in sailing through uncharted waters."
24 years later, the Soviet Union has disintegrated, but the superpower is more than ever to be debated. The United States decided to only a small number of international forces in support of the attack on Iraq, for this purpose and its long-time ally of the United States at break, along with the war in Iraq has exposed differences within the EU, this is the strength of the release may be affected in the next few years the global economy and financial markets.
The first force is the war in Iraq. "If the war continued to crack down on consumers and businesses the confidence and expenditures affecting the decision ... ... these will be reflected in the share price, the" UBS Warburg in London, George Magnus, chief economist, said.
Secondly, before the outbreak of the war in Iraq, e to a high degree of insecurity and instability in the geopolitical situation in the impact of the 12-nation euro zone and Japanese economies have been hovering around the edge of recession. And those problems because of the slowing down of the U.S. economy further. This is because Japan and Europe over the last 5 years has been to rely on exports to the United States to sustain its economic growth momentum.
The third problem is the decline in the dollar, since the beginning of the year in 2002, the U.S. dollar against the euro exchange rate has dropped by 17 percent, the U.S. dollar against the yen exchange rate has fallen by 9.2%. "The longer the war dragged on, the dollar will fall more miserable," said Magnus. "This makes Europe and Japan (export) competitiveness and (the exporters) against an additional profit."
Less than a political background or where. Financial consulting firm Independent Strategy in London, the chief economist鲍勃麦基claims that from a single superpower led by the world into a "European core economies" with the United States against the world, the Iraq war and the outbreak of war diplomacy before and it set a precedent for the dispute.
In France and Germany under the leadership of some of the unilateral US-led challenge to the world countries that the U.S. should not be in trade, investment and political decision-making, as well as Western countries since the Second World War military alliance formed to play a decisive role.
Mackey is expected after the end of the war in Iraq, there will be a series of disputes concerning the World Trade Organization, the current Doha Round of trade negotiations, designed to further the lifting of controls on international capital flows, as well as the United Nations in resolving the political disputes the role of ( if any).
"If the global economy and the constraints of the Cold War international relations can not play a role in the mechanism, then the trend of globalization means that there is some stagnation — — perhaps some back," said Magnus of UBS Warburg. Well, free trade, international capital flows and market opening can occur, such as efforts to retrogression. "It will affect the risk premium in financial markets and economic growth," said Magnus. "If the differences can not be resolved, it will be brought about by a very serious political consequences."
Within the EU that took place on the war in Iraq confirmed the differences as follows: in a very long period of time, the European countries more closely linked to form the ultimate political union is still only a wishful thinking, Morgan Stanley, an economist in London乔基姆费尔斯said.
Clear winner in Europe who will not be easy. Independent Strategy's McKee pointed out that in terms of gross domestic proct, and to the United Kingdom, led by Spain and Italy to support the camp compared to the American invasion of Iraq, in favor of Europe and the United States independent of the Franco-German alliance against the economy stronger.
However, as the EU expanded in 2004, the 15 member countries will increase to 25, most of the increase in new members in support of the United States. Mackey added that the trade in European countries an average of 60% occurred in the case of Europe, the independence of European countries it is very difficult. In addition to Britain, other European countries do not trade against the United States all of its foreign trade more than 10 percent, Britain's trade with the United States about 17%. Even so, 55% of British trade is with other EU countries.
Into Baghdad, there are problems. Rapid victory in the United States, French President Jacques Chirac could shut up, but if a military conflict into chaos, and that might be further encouraged to Chirac. Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder of Germany is also the case, although Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder expressed support for the first time a few days ago to oust Saddam, but he is still against the war.
Mackey said that from an investment point of view, the chaos and long-drawn-out conflicts and other U.S. dollar would no longer be attractive assets. If Iraq fails, Japan will also be losers, because of its dependence on oil imports too much, and oil prices will continue to rise.
Stockcube Research Ltd. Global strategist David Fowler said that the war will continue to put pressure on the stock market until investors to accurately aware of the change of regime in Iraq in sight. He said that the stock market will be 2-6 on the medium-term rebound in oil prices will drop to 15-20 U.S. dollars a barrel.
Followed by more bad news. He said that the market will be the main trend in the flat plate, spacing down to stage until the early 1980s than the valuation higher. On the S & P 500, that means that the dividend yield of 6% for 8-10 times earnings. In contrast, the March 31 Index dividend yield of 1.9%, to 30 times earnings.
He believed that both cases will lead the market: first, not the United States easily won the war and peace, the resulting long-term benefits is one of the world become more peaceful and democratic, more prosperous economy. In his view, the big losers will be France and Germany, because they are under the wrong note, as well as Russia, because oil prices will fall.
The second situation: since the war to become the biggest disaster since the Vietnam War, long-term result is that, with the weapons of mass destruction proliferation, the world becomes more dangerous. With the United States to pursue further political isolation, and global factors will lead to an increase in the power vacuum.
